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VAIL VALLEY Year End , 2018 Micro Marketing Report

The benefits of living in the Vail Valley are endless, including year-round activities, a tight-knit community feel, high-end shopping and dining, and spectacular mountain views. Attracting buyers from around the world, the Vail Valley real estate market continues to prove as healthy and active.2018 resulted in a year of high demand for Vail Valley real estate with an 11.1% increase in average price,...

MORE EVIDENCE OF A U.S. HOUSING TOP, AS RATES RISE

MORE EVIDENCE OF A U.S. HOUSING TOP, AS RATES RISE •       True, some of the recent housing data could be distorted by weather effects.  But U.S. housing starts fell -5.3% m/m in Sep, and are up only slightly y/y. Not all the news was bad, with single-unit permits up +2.9% m/m. However, weekly mortgage apps for purchase have also flattened recently, and declined...

Rollover in the US, NOT a Recession

This week’s revenue forecast downgrades from Apple and Delta Air Lines and Thursday’s steep dive in the ISM manufacturing PMI only appeared to confirm what market participants already knew: US growth is rolling over. After accelerating to a punchy 4% rate in mid-2018 thanks in large part to last January’s tax cuts, it now looks as if US GDP growth slowed to around 2.6% in 4Q18. All the macro...

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